Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés AI Prediction: Mathematical Betting Tips and Analysis

The legendary Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán takes center stage this Saturday, February 14, 2026, as Sevilla hosts Deportivo Alavés in a crucial La Liga Round 24 encounter. With both clubs currently locked on 25 points, this "relegation six-pointer" carries massive implications for the bottom half of the table. Our AI football predictions today have dissected the defensive fragilities of the Andalusians against the counter-attacking threat of the Basques to provide the most accurate mathematical football predictions for Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés.

Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés: Tactical Match Preview

Sevilla enters this fixture under the guidance of Matías Almeyda, still searching for defensive consistency. While they recently secured a resilient 1-1 draw against Girona, the Nerveyonenses have now gone eight matches without a clean sheet. To see their defensive rankings, you can check the Sevilla defensive stats La Liga 2026.

Deportivo Alavés, led by Eduardo "Chacho" Coudet, has been a "bogey team" for Sevilla recently, including a 1-0 win in the Copa del Rey just two months ago. Alavés thrives on width and direct free-kick opportunities, areas where Sevilla has struggled. Using the best AI for football match analysis, we identify that the battle between Akor Adams and Alavés' center-backs will be the defining duel of the night. For a deeper look at the visitors' form, browse Deportivo Alavés away form analysis 2026.Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés Win Probability

Despite their struggles, the AI models still favor the home side due to individual quality and historical home advantage at the Pizjuán. The calculated Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés win probability is as follows:

• Sevilla Win: 48%
• Draw: 28%
• Deportivo Alavés Win: 24%

Our algorithm-based football tips suggest that while Sevilla are favorites, the double chance (1X) is a safer daily banker AI football tips option given their current seven-game conceding streak. You can cross-reference this with who will win Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés according to data for live market movements.

Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés Score Prediction AI

Statistically, this match points toward a game of replies. Sevilla creates an average of 1.32 goals per game, while Alavés has been efficient in transitions despite a lower overall xG. The Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés score prediction AI model suggests a final result of 1-1 or 2-1.

For those looking for correct score tips for La Liga today, the 1-1 draw carries a 13% probability, while a narrow 1-0 Sevilla home win is rated at 11%. You can find more correct score tips for La Liga today to optimize your betting slips.

Confirmed Lineups and AI Prediction for Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés

Injuries play a significant role in today’s artificial intelligence soccer betting tips. Sevilla is missing key defenders like Marcao, while Alavés is without Jonny Otto due to suspension.

Sevilla (Predicted 5-3-2): Vlachodimos; Juanlu Sánchez, Azpilicueta, Gudelj, Salas, Suazo; Agoume, Mendy, Fernández; Maupay, Akor Adams.

Deportivo Alavés (Predicted 4-4-2): Sivera; Tenaglia, Garces, Pacheco, Parada; Calebe, Blanco, Ibáñez, Aleñá; Martinez, Lucas Boyé.

Keep an eye on the confirmed lineups and AI prediction for Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés as kickoff approaches.Top Betting Tips: BTTS & Over 2.5

Our AI model highlights two high-value markets for today’s clash:

• Both teams to score (BTTS) AI tips: YES (51% probability). Sevilla hasn't kept a clean sheet in 8 games, and both teams have scored in 4 of Sevilla's last 5 matches.
• Over 2.5 goals predictions today AI: NO (Under 2.5 is favored at 58%). While both score, they rarely blow the roof off the stadium in H2H meetings.

For more insights, search for over 2.5 goals predictions today AI football trends across European leagues.

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