AS Roma vs Cagliari AI Prediction: Serie A Betting Tips & Match Preview
AS Roma vs Cagliari AI Prediction: Serie A Betting Tips & Match Preview
AS Roma hosts Cagliari at the Stadio Olimpico on February 9, 2026, in a crucial Serie A encounter. The Giallorossi, currently sitting in 5th place with 43 points, are desperate to reclaim their Champions League qualification push after stumbling in recent matches. Meanwhile, Cagliari arrives on a three-game winning streak, showcasing surprising resilience. Our AI prediction model crunches head-to-head data, current form, and statistical trends to deliver expert betting insights for this Monday night clash.
AI Prediction: Who Will Win Roma vs Cagliari?
Based on comprehensive data analysis, Roma enters as overwhelming favorites with a 66.14% win probability according to betting markets. However, our AI algorithm presents an intriguing contrarian view, suggesting a Draw or Away Win (X2) at 2.55 odds as the main prediction, with a bold correct score forecast of 0-3 for Cagliari.
Contrarian Prediction: Cagliari 3-0 | Odds: 91.00 (high risk/reward)
Alternative Betting Scenarios
- Roma Win: 66% probability (1.48 odds) - Most likely outcome per bookmakers
- Roma 3-1 Cagliari: Expert consensus pick for comfortable home victory
- BTTS No: 42.55% chance at 1.65 odds
- Over 2.5 Goals: 46% probability (2.17 odds)
Current Form Analysis: Momentum Matters
AS Roma: Faltering Champions League Push
Roma's recent form reveals defensive solidity but attacking struggles. In their last five matches (2W-2D-1L), they've scored only 6 goals while conceding 3. Key statistics include:
- Home record: 7W-1D-3L (strong at Stadio Olimpico with 22 points)
- Last match: 0-1 loss to Udinese (momentum killer)
- No clean sheets in last 3 matches
- Under 2.5 goals in all of their last 5 matches
Cagliari: Surging Underdogs
Cagliari arrives with three consecutive victories, including a stunning 4-0 demolition of Verona and a shocking 1-0 upset over Juventus. Their recent stats show:
- 3 wins in last 5 matches (3W-1D-1L)
- Scoring 9 goals across last 5 games (1.8 per match)
- Over 2.5 goals in 4 of last 5 fixtures
- Away form: 3W-4D-5L (13 points, respectable for mid-table)
Head-to-Head: Roma's Historical Edge
Roma dominates this fixture historically with a 6-2 advantage in the last 10 encounters. However, Cagliari's recent 1-0 victory on December 7, 2025, broke a long winless streak and provides psychological confidence.
Recent H2H Results
- Dec 7, 2025: Cagliari 1-0 Roma ✅
- Mar 16, 2025: Roma 1-0 Cagliari
- Aug 18, 2024: Cagliari 0-0 Roma
- Feb 5, 2024: Roma 4-0 Cagliari
- Oct 8, 2023: Cagliari 1-4 Roma
Average goals: 1.75 per game (Roma), 0.75 per game (Cagliari). Both teams to score occurred in only 37.5% of recent encounters.
Expert Betting Tips & Value Picks
Top Betting Recommendations
Why: Home advantage, superior squad depth, and historical dominance favor the Giallorossi despite recent wobble.
Why: 72.57% probability according to odds analysis. Both teams have scoring capability.
Why: Safety net if match ends level, given Cagliari's recent upset potential.
Additional Betting Markets
- Correct Score Roma 3-1: Consensus expert pick for comfortable home win
- Semih Kilicsoy Anytime Scorer: Cagliari's in-form striker (4 Serie A goals)
- Under 2.5 Goals: Consider at 1.75 odds given Roma's recent low-scoring trend
Frequently Asked Questions
What time is the Roma vs Cagliari kickoff?
The match kicks off at 19:45 UK time (7:45 PM) on Monday, February 9, 2026, at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome, Italy.
Who is favored to win according to AI predictions?
Roma is the clear favorite with 66.14% win probability based on bookmaker odds. However, AI algorithms suggest an upset potential with X2 (Draw or Cagliari) as an intriguing value bet.
What is the predicted score for Roma vs Cagliari?
Most experts predict Roma 3-1 Cagliari as the most likely correct score, reflecting a comfortable home victory. The AI model's contrarian 0-3 Cagliari prediction represents high-risk, high-reward betting.
Will both teams score in this match?
There's a 42.55% probability that both teams will score (BTTS Yes at 2.35 odds). Historical data shows BTTS occurred in only 37.5% of recent H2H encounters, favoring the "No" option at 1.65 odds.
How has Cagliari performed away from home?
Cagliari has struggled on the road with just 2 wins in their last 11 away matches across all competitions. However, their recent 2-1 victory at Fiorentina and impressive winning streak suggest improved confidence.
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