Atalanta vs Cremonese Prediction: AI Analysis & Expert Betting Tips

Match Overview: Serie A Showdown February 9, 2026

Atalanta welcomes struggling Cremonese to the Gewiss Stadium in what promises to be a decisive Serie A encounter. With kickoff scheduled for 17:30 GMT, La Dea enters as overwhelming favorites against visitors mired in a nine-game winless streak.

The hosts currently sit 7th in the standings with 36 points from 23 matches, while Cremonese languishes in 15th position on 23 points, precariously positioned just above the relegation zone. This historical matchup heavily favors the Bergamo side.

Form Analysis: Contrasting Trajectories

Atalanta's resurgence under manager Raffaele Palladino has been remarkable. The team boasts an impressive six-game unbeaten run in Serie A, featuring four victories and clean sheets in five of those matches. Their defensive solidity is particularly noteworthy—conceding just one goal throughout 2026.

The momentum extended midweek with a commanding 3-0 Coppa Italia victory over Juventus. Gianluca Scamacca continues his scoring renaissance, while goalkeeper Marco Carnesecchi maintains Europe's highest save rate (96%) across top-five leagues.

Conversely, Cremonese's collapse has been alarming. The Grigiorossi have failed to score in their last four fixtures and managed just two goals in 2026. Their away form is particularly concerning—five consecutive matches without finding the net. Manager Davide Nicola faces mounting pressure as his survival specialist reputation undergoes scrutiny.

Head-to-Head Statistics

History overwhelmingly supports Atalanta. In 21 all-time meetings at the Gewiss Stadium, La Dea have secured 13 victories, with Cremonese claiming just one win. The reverse fixture in October ended 1-1, representing Cremonese's best recent result against their hosts.

Team News & Predicted Lineups

Atalanta: Missing captain Marten de Roon and defender Honest Ahanor through suspension. However, Palladino otherwise fields a full-strength squad. Mitchel Bakker returns from injury.

Predicted Formation (3-4-2-1): Carnesecchi; Scalvini, Djimsiti, Hien; Zappacosta, Ederson, Pasalic, Zalewski; De Ketelaere, Raspadori; Scamacca

Cremonese: Jari Vandeputte (muscle strain) doubtful. Antonio Sanabria and Warren Bondo ruled out through injury. Tommaso Barbieri returns from suspension.

Predicted Formation (3-5-2): Audero; Terracciano, Baschirotto, Luperto; Barbieri, Thorsby, Grassi, Maleh, Pezzella; Bonazzoli, Vardy

AI Prediction & Betting Analysis

Advanced analytics heavily favor a comfortable home victory. Key statistical indicators include:

• Atalanta averaging 1.5 goals scored per match with under 1.0 conceded
• Cremonese's drought: 0.4 goals per match over last 10 fixtures
• Under 2.5 goals occurred in 8 of Cremonese's last 10 Serie A games
• BTTS No landed in 7 of Atalanta's last 10 matches

Final Prediction: Atalanta 2-0 Cremonese

The data supports a narrow home victory with Under 2.5 Total Goals representing exceptional value. Atalanta's defensive discipline combined with Cremonese's offensive impotence creates ideal conditions for a low-scoring affair. Betting odds of -122 for BTTS No reflect strong analytical backing.

Key Players To Watch

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta): Three goals in his last five home appearances. The Italian striker's clinical finishing makes him a prime anytime goalscorer candidate at +140 odds.

Jamie Vardy (Cremonese): The veteran striker remains Cremonese's primary goal threat despite the team's struggles. Scored in the reverse fixture, though supply has been severely limited recently.

FAQs

What time does Atalanta vs Cremonese kick off?

The match kicks off at 17:30 GMT (18:30 CET) on Monday, February 9, 2026 at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy.

Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Cremonese?

Atalanta are heavy favorites with odds around -313, representing a 76% probability of victory according to bookmakers.

What is Cremonese's recent form?

Cremonese have not won in their last nine Serie A matches and haven't scored in five consecutive away games, placing them in serious relegation danger.

What is the best bet for this match?

Both Teams to Score No (BTTS No) at -122 offers excellent value based on Atalanta's defensive record and Cremonese's scoring drought.

Final Thoughts

This fixture represents a quintessential Serie A mismatch—resurgent European hopefuls against relegation-threatened visitors. Atalanta's combination of defensive excellence and attacking potency should prove too much for a Cremonese side devoid of confidence and goals.

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