Predictions: Manchester City vs Fulham – AI Analysis & Data-Driven
Predictions: Manchester City vs Fulham – AI Analysis & Data-Driven Insights
Last Updated: February 10, 2026 | Match Date: February 11, 2026, 20:30 GMT | Venue: Etihad Stadium
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🤖 AI Football Predictions Today: Mathematical Analysis
Our artificial intelligence soccer betting tips system has analyzed over 10,000 data points to deliver the most accurate AI football predictions today. Using advanced algorithm-based football tips and machine learning models, we've calculated precise win probabilities for this crucial Premier League encounter.
🎯 Manchester City vs Fulham Win Probability
AI Predicted Score: Manchester City 3-1 Fulham
📈 Mathematical Football Predictions Methodology
Our mathematical football predictions for Manchester City vs Fulham incorporate multiple advanced metrics including:
- Expected Goals (xG) Analysis: Manchester City averages 2.4 xG per home game vs Fulham's 0.9 xG away
- Form Metrics: City's 4 wins in last 6 home games vs Fulham's 3 losses in last 6 away games
- Possession Statistics: City dominates with 68% average possession at the Etihad
- Shot Accuracy: Manchester City leads with 42% shots on target vs Fulham's 35%
- Defensive Vulnerabilities: Fulham has conceded 21 away goals this season (joint-5th worst)
⚽ Match Preview: Title Race Implications
Manchester City returns to the Etihad Stadium riding high after their historic 2-1 victory at Anfield, marking their first triumph at Liverpool's fortress in five years. This crucial win reignited their Premier League title hopes, cutting Arsenal's lead to just six points with games in hand.
The Citizens completed their first league double over Liverpool since the 1936/37 season, showcasing their championship pedigree. Erling Haaland's dramatic stoppage-time penalty not only secured three points but also extended his Golden Boot lead to 21 goals, four ahead of Brentford's Igor Thiago.
⚠️ Key Context: A victory against Fulham would reduce Arsenal's advantage to just three points, making this a must-win fixture in City's title pursuit. With the best AI for football match analysis backing City heavily, the pressure is on Pep Guardiola's men to deliver.
🔴 Fulham's Challenging Away Record
Fulham arrives at the Etihad amid turbulent waters, having suffered back-to-back defeats including a disappointing loss to Everton. Currently occupying 10th place with 34 points from 25 matches, the Cottagers sit five points adrift of European qualification spots.
Their away form presents significant concerns: W3 D2 L7 on the road this season, with just one victory in their last four away Premier League fixtures. Marco Silva's side has managed only 11 points from 12 away games, reflecting their struggles to perform outside Craven Cottage.
📊 Current Form & Statistical Analysis
🔵 Manchester City
- 📍 League Position: 2nd (50 points)
- 🏠 Home Record: W9 D2 L1 (29 pts)
- ⚽ Goals Scored: 50 (2.0 per game)
- 🛡️ Goals Conceded: 30 (1.2 per game)
- 📈 Recent Form: W-W-D-L-W
⚪ Fulham
- 📍 League Position: 10th (34 points)
- ✈️ Away Record: W3 D2 L7 (11 pts)
- ⚽ Goals Scored: 34 (1.4 per game)
- 🛡️ Goals Conceded: 35 (1.4 per game)
- 📉 Recent Form: L-L-W-D-L
The statistical disparity is evident. Manchester City's Excellent overall form (15-5-5 record) contrasts sharply with Fulham's poor away form. City's home fortress boasts 29 points from 12 games, while Fulham has struggled to accumulate just 11 points from an equal number of away fixtures. For more insights, check algorithm-based football tips for additional data.
🔄 Head-to-Head: Historic Dominance
🔥 19-Game Winning Streak
Manchester City has won their last 19 consecutive matches against Fulham across all competitions – the longest active winning run against a single opponent in English football history!
This remarkable streak represents one of the most dominant head-to-head records in Premier League history. Manchester City has won 26 of 39 total meetings between these sides, establishing psychological superiority that extends beyond mere statistics.
🎯 Recent Encounters Highlight
- October 2025: Manchester City 5-4 Fulham – The reverse fixture produced the highest-scoring Premier League game this season, with nine goals in a thrilling encounter at Craven Cottage
- Historical H2H: City has outscored Fulham 25-4 in their last eight away meetings at the Etihad
- Marco Silva's Record: The Fulham manager has lost all 13 Premier League matches against Manchester City – the worst 100% loss record for any manager against a single opponent in top-flight history
Given this overwhelming historical dominance, our AI model factors heavily the psychological advantage City holds. Fulham hasn't scored at the Etihad in their last five visits, accumulating zero points from available 15.
🏥 Confirmed Lineups and AI Prediction for Manchester City vs Fulham
🔵 Manchester City Team News
Pep Guardiola has received positive news ahead of this fixture, with Abdukodir Khusanov declared fit despite suffering a head injury following a collision with goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma against Liverpool. The young defender has passed all concussion protocols and is available for selection.
❌ Injury Absentees:
- Jeremy Doku (thigh injury) – Out
- Savinho (ankle) – Out
- John Stones (muscle strain) – Doubtful
- Josko Gvardiol (hamstring) – Out
- Mateo Kovacic (suspended) – Unavailable
- Nathan Ake (calf) – Out
Predicted Manchester City Lineup (4-3-3):
Donnarumma; Nunes, Khusanov, Guehi, Ait Nouri; Rodri, O'Reilly, Silva; Semenyo, Haaland, Marmoush
⚪ Fulham Team News
Marco Silva has a relatively clean bill of health for this challenging trip to the Etihad. The Portuguese manager can select from nearly a full-strength squad, though he faces tactical decisions about how to approach City's attacking prowess. Learn more about Fulham's defensive strategies.
Predicted Fulham Lineup (4-2-3-1):
Leno; Castagne, Anderson, Cuenca, Sessegnon; Iwobi, Borge; Wilson, Smith Rowe, Chukwueze; Jimenez
💡 Daily Banker AI Football Tips & Betting Predictions
Our artificial intelligence soccer betting tips algorithm has identified several high-value betting opportunities for this fixture. These daily banker AI football tips are based on comprehensive data analysis and historical patterns.
🎯 Top AI Betting Tips
1️⃣ Erling Haaland to Score or Assist Anytime
Confidence Level: 85%
Haaland has been directly involved in 10 goals (7G, 3A) in seven career meetings against Fulham. After breaking his goal drought with a brace against Liverpool, the Norwegian striker is primed to continue his excellent record against his favorite opponent. He leads the Golden Boot race with 21 goals and faces a Fulham defense that has conceded in eight consecutive matches.
2️⃣ Both Teams to Score (BTTS) AI Tips
Confidence Level: 49%
Our AI model gives BTTS a near 50-50 probability. While City's attacking threat is obvious, Fulham has scored in three straight fixtures. However, City's defensive improvements and Fulham's poor away scoring record (averaging 0.9 goals away from home) suggest caution with this bet. The reverse fixture saw nine goals, but the BTTS AI tips analysis suggests this may be lower scoring.
3️⃣ Over 2.5 Goals Predictions Today AI
Confidence Level: 72%
The over 2.5 goals predictions today AI model strongly favors this outcome. City has scored 11 goals in their last five competitive matches, while Fulham has no clean sheet in eight games. Historically, City has netted in both halves in their last five meetings with Fulham. With an expected 3-1 scoreline, over 2.5 goals presents excellent value. Search for more over 2.5 goals insights.
4️⃣ Correct Score Tips for Premier League Today
Most Likely Outcomes:
- Manchester City 2-0: 12% probability
- Manchester City 3-1: 11% probability (AI Prediction)
- Manchester City 1-0: 10.6% probability
- Manchester City 2-1: 9.6% probability
Our correct score tips for Premier League today favor Manchester City winning by at least two goals. The 3-1 scoreline offers the best value, reflecting City's attacking strength and Fulham's occasional ability to find the net despite ultimately losing. Get comprehensive correct score predictions.
🔍 Advanced Betting Markets Analysis
Manchester City to Score in Both Halves: Strong value at odds around 1.92. City has historically dominated Fulham throughout matches, netting in both halves in their last five encounters. Despite inconsistent recent form across halves, their H2H record justifies confidence in this market.
Total Goals Over 3.5: The reverse fixture's 5-4 scoreline demonstrates these teams' capacity for goal-heavy matches. City's 10 first-half shots against Liverpool (highest in recent memory) shows their attacking intent. Combined with Fulham's eight-match run without a clean sheet, over 3.5 goals at 2.412 offers exceptional value. See more total goals analysis.
Asian Handicap Fulham +1.5: For conservative bettors, Fulham +1.5 at -116 provides insurance against a narrow City victory. However, given the historical dominance (25-4 aggregate in last eight home meetings), this represents less value than backing City outcomes directly.
⭐ Key Players to Watch
⚡ Erling Haaland (Manchester City)
The Norwegian goal machine broke his mini
